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Florida International

Panthers · Conference USA

GIE rank
#101
of 138 FBS
Rating
1453
2026 Week 11
Record
3-5
2026 season
Proj record
5-7
12-game season

Head coach Willie Simmons Year 2 with Florida International

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
5.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
4 to 7
Final rank (90%)
#100 (82–115)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Florida International's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at South Florida American Athletic Loss, 9-19 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Buffalo Mid-American Win, 33-20 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Florida Atlantic American Athletic Loss, 10-16 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Long Island University Non-FBS Win, 20-3 Final
Wk 5 Bye
Wk 6 Oct 7 vs New Mexico State Conference USA Win, 22-3 Final
Wk 7 Oct 14 at Jacksonville State Conference USA Loss, 24-27 Final
Wk 8 Oct 20 vs Middle Tennessee Conference USA Loss, 23-26 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Liberty Conference USA Loss, 10-49 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Missouri State Conference USA Win probability: 81%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Delaware Conference USA Win probability: 54%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Kennesaw State Conference USA Win probability: 60%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Sam Houston Conference USA Win probability: 83%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Florida International: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Florida International sits at 3–5 after a 49–10 road loss to Liberty in Week 9, holding a GIE rating of –7.9 and ranked 100th overall. The Panthers' offensive struggles are stark: a red-zone TD rate of just 16% and third-down conversion…

  • Recap

    Florida International: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Florida International remains stuck at the bottom tier of Conference USA with a 2–2 record and a rating that hasn't budged in weeks. Last time we checked in, the Panthers dominated Long Island University 20–3 at home, but that win hasn't…

  • Recap

    Florida International: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Florida International sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 loss to South USF, dropping 19–9 on the road. GIE's rating remains unchanged at –14.5, ranking the Panthers 115th nationally, with a projected path to around 5 wins this season. The offense…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Keyone Jenkins

GIE projects a 6.5 rating drop and a 26.2pp shift in playoff probability if Florida International loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

29 score

  • Quarterback 0% (1/6)
  • Offensive line 57% (12/21) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 41% (16/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 47% (15/29)
  • Secondary 25% (6/17)
  • Special teams 5% (3/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.4 rating

24 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Florida International incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Greg Gaines IIIWR From Rhode Island Rhode Island 93
Brayshawn LittlejohnLB From App State App State 76
Wesley MillerDB From South Alabama South Alabama 75
JJ KohlQB From App State App State 63
RJ Moss Jr.DL From South Alabama South Alabama 46
Nathan JenningsDL From South Alabama South Alabama 45

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 32.7%
    27th — below avg
  • Red-zone TD rate 15.8%
    62th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 48.5%
    92th — elite
  • Late & close 5.5 yds/play
    61th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.