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Conference game

Florida International at Kennesaw State

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Florida International 54% Favorite
Kennesaw State 46% Underdog
Florida International 90% CI
45–63%
Δ rating
Florida International +5.9

Florida International is the model's favorite at 54%. Kennesaw State has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.6 rating points baked in for Kennesaw State — venue-specific learned value (n=13 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Florida International offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Kennesaw State offense Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup