2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Missouri State at Florida International
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC
Pitbull Stadium
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.5
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
33%
Florida International
67%
Florida International 90% CI: 58% – 75% Δ rating 4.6
Florida International is the model's favorite at 67%. Missouri State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No