2026 Week 6 · Conference game
New Mexico State at Florida International
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Pitbull Stadium
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -18.5
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.5
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
35%
Florida International
65%
Florida International 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 4.0
Florida International is the model's favorite at 65%. New Mexico State has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No