Conference game
Buffalo at Toledo
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo Winner | 6 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
 Toledo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 88%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Buffalo 12% Underdog
Toledo 88% Favorite
Toledo is the model's favorite at 88%. Buffalo has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.