Conference game
Akron at Massachusetts
Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Akron 13% Underdog
Massachusetts 87% Favorite
Massachusetts is the model's favorite at 87%. Akron has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Massachusetts — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Akron offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Massachusetts offense
40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup