Conference game
UL Monroe at App State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
UL Monroe 6% Underdog
App State 94% Favorite
App State is the model's favorite at 94%. UL Monroe has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UL Monroe offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
App State offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup