Conference game
Arkansas State at Louisiana
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: Louisiana at 71%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Arkansas State 29% Underdog
Louisiana 71% Favorite
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 71%. Arkansas State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.