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Conference game

Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 1:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Old Dominion 35% Underdog
Coastal Carolina 65% Favorite
Coastal Carolina 90% CI
56–73%
Δ rating
Coastal Carolina +4.4

Coastal Carolina is the model's favorite at 65%. Old Dominion has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Old Dominion offense Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Coastal Carolina offense 30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup