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Coastal Carolina

Chanticleers · Sun Belt

GIE rank
#103
of 138 FBS
Rating
1449
2026 Week 11
Record
3-5
2026 season
Proj record
5-7
12-game season

Head coach Ryan Beard Year 1 with Coastal Carolina

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
4.6
1.6 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
3 to 6
Final rank (90%)
#104 (89–118)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Coastal Carolina's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at West Virginia Big 12 Loss, 24-31 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Fordham Non-FBS Win, 45-7 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Delaware Conference USA Loss, 14-22 Final
Wk 4 Sep 24 vs Liberty Conference USA Loss, 17-34 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Georgia Southern Sun Belt Loss, 24-31 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Marshall Sun Belt Win, 27-21 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs App State Sun Belt Loss, 32-35 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Georgia State Sun Belt Win, 31-20 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Old Dominion Sun Belt Win probability: 70%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Arkansas State Sun Belt Win probability: 48%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Louisiana Sun Belt Win probability: 16%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at James Madison Sun Belt Win probability: 5%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Coastal Carolina sits at 3–5 with a rating of –10.3, holding rank 109 overall. The Chants picked up a road win at Georgia State last week, 31–20, but the victory hasn't moved the needle on GIE's assessment—the rating remained flat…

  • Recap

    Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Coastal Carolina sits at 1–4 and holding a rating of –11.4, unchanged from last week despite a Week 5 home loss to Georgia Southern (24–31). The Chanticleers' struggles run deep: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversion…

  • Recap

    Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Coastal Carolina enters Week 3 ranked 117th by GIE after a season-opening loss to West Virginia, 31–24. The rating held flat week-over-week, suggesting the offense showed enough competence to avoid further decline despite the defeat.…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Tad Hudson

GIE projects a 10.4 rating drop and a 41.8pp shift in playoff probability if Coastal Carolina loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

23 score

  • Quarterback 0% (0/6)
  • Offensive line 33% (6/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 39% (12/26)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 28% (10/29)
  • Secondary 43% (8/22)
  • Special teams 0% (1/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.5 rating

40 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Coastal Carolina incoming transfers
Player From Impact
DJ WesolakDT From Missouri State Missouri State 133
Kente EdwardsRB From Lafayette Lafayette 106
Mitchell ToneyDE From Missouri State Missouri State 97
Tristian GardnerWR From Missouri State Missouri State 85
Ahmad PooleDT From Missouri State Missouri State 70
Clayton Coppock Jr.WR From Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 65

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 32.3%
    26th — below avg
  • Red-zone TD rate 13.4%
    35th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 25.2%
    10th — bottom tier
  • Late & close 3.9 yds/play
    22th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.