Conference game
Coastal Carolina at James Madison
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Coastal Carolina 4% Underdog
James Madison 96% Favorite
James Madison is the model's favorite at 96%. Coastal Carolina has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.6 rating points baked in for James Madison — venue-specific learned value (n=25 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Coastal Carolina offense
27 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
James Madison offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup