Conference game
App State at Coastal Carolina
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 App State Winner | 14 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 35 |
 Coastal Carolina | 7 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 32 |
GIE pre-game call: App State at 60%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
App State 60% Favorite
Coastal Carolina 40% Underdog
App State is the model's favorite at 60%. Coastal Carolina has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Coastal Carolina recap Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap Coastal Carolina sits at 1–4 and holding a rating of –11.4, unchanged from last week despite a Week 5 home loss to Georgia Southern (24–31). The Chanticleers' struggles run deep: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversion…
- App State recap App State: 2026 Week 7 recap App State sits at 3–1 with a rating of −4.4, holding rank 89 overall, though the model sees a ceiling of roughly 7.7 wins for the season. The loss to NC State (41–31 in Week 4) exposed real limitations: a red-zone TD rate of just 18% and…