Conference game
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Coastal Carolina 17% Underdog
Louisiana 83% Favorite
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 83%. Coastal Carolina has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Coastal Carolina offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup