2026 Week 1
Liberty at James Madison
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Bridgeforth Stadium
Liberty
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.3
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
James Madison
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -0.9
- National rank
- 70
- Proj. wins
- 9.2
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Liberty
25%
James Madison
75%
James Madison 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 4.4
James Madison is the model's favorite at 75%. Liberty has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for James Madison — venue-specific learned value (n=21 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Liberty offense
25 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
James Madison offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
76°F
Precipitation
58%
Wind
24 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bridgeforth Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No