Conference game
Sam Houston at Jacksonville State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Sam Houston 9% Underdog
Jacksonville State 91% Favorite
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 91%. Sam Houston has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Jacksonville State — venue-specific night-game value (n=20 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Jacksonville State offense
40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup