2026 Week 8 · Conference game
South Alabama at Marshall
Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.6
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.2
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Alabama
35%
Marshall
65%
Marshall 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 6.4
Marshall is the model's favorite at 65%. South Alabama has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.5 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Alabama offense
38 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Marshall offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No