Vandals · Sun Belt
Head coach Paul Petrino
No remaining game changes Idaho's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | at Cal Poly Non-FBS | Loss, 34-38 Final |
| Wk 1 Sep 4 | at Utah Big 12 | Loss, 14-66 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Lamar Non-FBS | Loss, 17-23 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Abilene Christian Non-FBS | Loss, 39-41 Final |
| Wk 4 | Bye | |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Montana State Non-FBS | Win, 35-34 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Weber State Non-FBS | Loss, 27-38 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Montana Non-FBS | Win, 42-35 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Southern Utah Non-FBS | Win, 31-28 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Portland State Non-FBS | Win, 38-14 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Eastern Washington Non-FBS | No win prob. |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs UC Davis Non-FBS | No win prob. |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Idaho State Non-FBS | No win prob. |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -3.0 rating drop and a -12.1pp shift in playoff probability if Idaho loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=2 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
77 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.4 rating
10 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Ishaan DanielsDB From Weber State | Weber State | 31 |
| Jamarion AugustusDE From Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | 19 |
| Zack CardWR From Oregon State | Oregon State | 14 |
| Israel CarterQB From Norfolk State | Norfolk State | 4 |
| Tyrane StewartDB From North Texas | North Texas | 4 |
| Darrell Gipson Jr.LB From Cincinnati | Cincinnati | 2 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
