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This week in college football

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Analysis

Week 9 in Review: Big Games and Upsets

Iowa State's 51-49 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday carried the highest excitement index of the week at 8.99, and for good…

Iowa State's 51-49 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday carried the highest excitement index of the week at 8.99, and for good reason. Oklahoma State entered with a 60 percent pregame win probability, meaning the Cyclones…

Iowa State's 51-49 win over Oklahoma State on Saturday carried the highest excitement index of the week at 8.99, and for good reason. Oklahoma State entered with a 60 percent pregame win probability, meaning the Cyclones pulled off a…

Ratings as of 2026 Week 11

GIE Top 25
Rank Team Conf W-L Rating Final-rank range
1 Miami ACC Final-rank range 1–4 ACC 8-0 1839 Final-rank range 1 to 4, currently 1
2 Utah Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 Final-rank range 1–5 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big 12 8-0 1833 Final-rank range 1 to 5, currently 2
3 UCLA Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big Ten Final-rank range 2–14 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC Big Ten 8-0 1786 Final-rank range 2 to 14, currently 3
4 Indiana Big Ten Final-rank range 3–14 Big Ten 8-1 1777 Final-rank range 3 to 14, currently 4
5 Notre Dame Ind. Final-rank range 2–17 FBS Independents 7-1 1772 Final-rank range 2 to 17, currently 5
6 Boise State Pac-12 Final-rank range 3–15 Pac-12 7-1 1769 Final-rank range 3 to 15, currently 6
7 Georgia SEC Final-rank range 3–17 SEC 7-1 1769 Final-rank range 3 to 17, currently 7
8 LSU Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC Final-rank range 3–20 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC 6-2 1761 Final-rank range 3 to 20, currently 8
9 Wake Forest Head coach tenure: Y2 HC ACC Final-rank range 4–20 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC ACC 7-1 1750 Final-rank range 4 to 20, currently 9
10 Alabama SEC Final-rank range 6–28 SEC 6-2 1728 Final-rank range 6 to 28, currently 10
11 Missouri SEC Final-rank range 6–29 SEC 6-2 1723 Final-rank range 6 to 29, currently 11
12 Ohio State Big Ten Final-rank range 7–30 Big Ten 6-2 1722 Final-rank range 7 to 30, currently 12
13 Tennessee SEC Final-rank range 6–31 SEC 6-2 1722 Final-rank range 6 to 31, currently 13
14 Ole Miss Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC Final-rank range 7–31 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC 6-2 1719 Final-rank range 7 to 31, currently 14
15 Houston Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Big 12 Final-rank range 7–33 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Big 12 6-2 1716 Final-rank range 7 to 33, currently 15
16 Liberty CUSA Final-rank range 9–29 Conference USA 7-1 1715 Final-rank range 9 to 29, currently 16
17 BYU Big 12 Final-rank range 8–32 Big 12 7-1 1714 Final-rank range 8 to 32, currently 17
18 Texas Tech Big 12 Final-rank range 8–32 Big 12 7-1 1712 Final-rank range 8 to 32, currently 18
19 UTSA American Final-rank range 8–35 American Athletic 7-1 1710 Final-rank range 8 to 35, currently 19
20 Arizona Big 12 Final-rank range 9–37 Big 12 6-2 1702 Final-rank range 9 to 37, currently 20
21 New Mexico Head coach tenure: Y2 HC MWC Final-rank range 9–38 Head coach tenure: Y2 HC Mountain West 7-1 1701 Final-rank range 9 to 38, currently 21
22 Texas SEC Final-rank range 11–38 SEC 6-2 1694 Final-rank range 11 to 38, currently 22
23 Kentucky Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC Final-rank range 11–41 Head coach tenure: Y1 HC SEC 7-1 1692 Final-rank range 11 to 41, currently 23
24 Baylor Big 12 Final-rank range 11–40 Big 12 5-3 1691 Final-rank range 11 to 40, currently 24
25 South Carolina SEC Final-rank range 11–39 SEC 5-3 1690 Final-rank range 11 to 39, currently 25

No rank changes from last week.

Underdog Watch

Games of Nov 4–7 · 2026 Week 10

Games where GIE thinks the underdog has a real, non-coin-flip path. Win probability shown is for the underdog. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Underdog Watch games
Matchup Underdog win probability
UCF vs Kansas Big 12 on the road Nov 7 Win probability for UCF: 48%
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Big 12 at home Nov 7 Win probability for Kansas State: 47%
Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Conference USA at home Nov 7 Win probability for Middle Tennessee: 46%
Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan Mid-American neutral site Nov 4 Win probability for Central Michigan: 43%
Penn State vs Washington Big Ten on the road Nov 7 Win probability for Penn State: 42%