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Washington

Huskies · Big Ten

GIE rank
#45
of 138 FBS
Rating
1622
2026 Week 11
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Jedd Fisch Year 3 with Washington

Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
7.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
6 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#45 (26–65)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Washington's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 6 vs Washington State Pac-12 Win, 24-10 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Utah State Pac-12 Win, 16-14 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Eastern Washington Non-FBS Win, 48-16 Final
Wk 4 Sep 27 vs Minnesota Big Ten Loss, 24-27 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at USC Big Ten Loss, 21-25 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Iowa Big Ten Loss, 24-41 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Purdue Big Ten Win, 38-26 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Nov 1 at Nebraska Big Ten Win, 17-10 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Penn State Big Ten Win probability: 58%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Michigan State Big Ten Win probability: 78%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Indiana Big Ten Win probability: 18%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Oregon Big Ten Win probability: 22%

Latest stories

Stories about Washington will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

68 score

  • Quarterback 97% (3/5)
  • Offensive line 72% (13/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 29% (16/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 55% (13/29)
  • Secondary 50% (12/19)
  • Special teams 98% (3/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.7 rating

14 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Washington incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Christian MossWR From Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 127
Emmanuel KarnleyCB From Virginia Virginia 89
Darin ConleyDL From Ball State Ball State 68
Jayden LimarRB From Oregon Oregon 47
Elijah BrownQB From Stanford Stanford 30
DeSean WattsDL From Sacramento State Sacramento State 12

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 44.4%
    90th — elite
  • Red-zone TD rate 20.4%
    89th — strong
  • 4th-down aggression 36.8%
    53th — average
  • Late & close 5.1 yds/play
    50th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.