Buffalo: 2026 Week 7 recap

Buffalo sits at 2–3 after dropping Week 5 at home to Western Michigan, 20–17, a loss that didn't budge their GIE rating of −17.2 (ranked 124th). The culprit is evident in the numbers: a red-zone TD rate of just 15% means scoring opportunities are evaporating inside the ten-yard line, and a third-down conversion rate of 36% leaves them perpetually behind the chains. With an expected win total of 5.2 and playoff probability at zero, the margin for error has essentially closed. Buffalo heads to Toledo in Week 6 needing to stabilize both efficiency and execution before the season slips entirely away.