Mississippi State at Minnesota
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mississippi State Winner | 14 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 38 |
 Minnesota | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
GIE pre-game call: Mississippi State at 51%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Mississippi State 51% Favorite
Minnesota 49% Underdog
Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 51%. Minnesota has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.