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Conference game

Oklahoma at Missouri

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Oklahoma 30% Underdog
Missouri 70% Favorite
Missouri 90% CI
62–77%
Δ rating
Missouri +3.9

Missouri is the model's favorite at 70%. Oklahoma has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oklahoma offense Higher fit 34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Missouri offense 27 / 100 Style-neutral matchup