Conference game
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Ole Miss 54% Favorite
Oklahoma 46% Underdog
Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 54%. Oklahoma has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Oklahoma — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ole Miss offense
29 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup