2026 Week 1 · Conference game
Miami at Stanford
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Stanford Stadium
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.0
- National rank
- 7
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami
93%
Stanford
7%
Stanford 90% CI: 5% – 10% Δ rating 24.3
Miami is the model's favorite at 93%. Stanford has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Stanford offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
60°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Stanford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No