Cardinal · ACC
Head coach Tavita Pritchard Year 1 with Stanford
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Stanford's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | vs Hawai'i Mountain West | Win, 37-27 Final |
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Miami ACC | Loss, 6-45 Final |
| Wk 2 | Bye | |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Duke ACC | Loss, 7-35 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 27 | vs Georgia Tech ACC | Win, 34-27 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at Wake Forest ACC | Loss, 3-57 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Notre Dame FBS Independents | Loss, 7-58 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Elon Non-FBS | Win, 34-7 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs NC State ACC | Win, 31-28 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Louisville ACC | Loss, 24-52 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Virginia Tech ACC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at California ACC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs SMU ACC | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 2.9 rating drop and a 11.6pp shift in playoff probability if Stanford loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
48 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.2 rating
6 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Nico BrownWR From Yale | Yale | 100 |
| Leroy BryantCB From Washington | Washington | 49 |
| Dara AdeyemiOL From Bucknell | Bucknell | — |
| Aidan KilstromOL From Harvard | Harvard | — |
| Carter ShawWR From UCLA | UCLA | — |
| Davis WarrenQB From Michigan | Michigan | — |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
