2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Stanford at California
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Stanford
21%
California
79%
California 90% CI: 72% – 84% Δ rating 5.3
California is the model's favorite at 79%. Stanford has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Stanford offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No