Conference game
SMU at Stanford
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
SMU 91% Favorite
Stanford 9% Underdog
SMU is the model's favorite at 91%. Stanford has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.4 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
SMU offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Stanford offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup