2026 Week 13 · Conference game
SMU at Stanford
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Stanford Stadium
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.1
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
SMU
79%
Stanford
21%
Stanford 90% CI: 16% – 28% Δ rating 14.4
SMU is the model's favorite at 79%. Stanford has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Stanford — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
SMU offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Stanford offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Stanford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No