2026 Week 9 · Conference game
SMU at Syracuse
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
JMA Wireless Dome
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.1
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
Syracuse
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.9
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
SMU
81%
Syracuse
19%
Syracuse 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 14.0
SMU is the model's favorite at 81%. Syracuse has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Syracuse — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
SMU offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Syracuse offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- JMA Wireless Dome
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No