4thand4cast

Rankings Comparison

As of 2025 Week 16. See how 4thand4cast stacks up vs the CFP Committee.

↑ Higher in GIE ↓ Lower in GIE — Same
GIETeamCFPvs CFP
  1. 1IndianaBig Ten1
  2. 2Ohio StateBig Ten2
  3. 3Texas TechBig 1241
  4. 4OregonBig Ten51
  5. 5Notre DameFBS Independents116
  6. 6GeorgiaSEC33
  7. 7Ole MissSEC61
  8. 8UtahBig 12157
  9. 9MiamiACC101
  10. 10Texas A&MSEC73
  11. 11VanderbiltSEC143
  12. 12IowaBig Ten2311
  13. 13WashingtonBig TenNR
  14. 14OklahomaSEC86
  15. 15Penn StateBig TenNR
  16. 16USCBig Ten16
  17. 17TexasSEC134
  18. 18BYUBig 12126
  19. 19TennesseeSECNR
  20. 20AlabamaSEC911
  21. 21MissouriSECNR
  22. 22North TexasAmerican Athletic253
  23. 23SMUACCNR
  24. 24IllinoisBig TenNR
  25. 25LouisvilleACCNR

Why the difference?

Polls are voted by humans — coaches, sportswriters, the Playoff Committee — and weight things like brand history, recency, and the eye test. GIE is a proprietary prediction engine. It ignores tradition. It looks at the season as it actually played out and produces a forecast for what comes next. The differences are where the disagreements live.

More about GIE →