Marshall at Penn State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marshall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Penn State Winner | 17 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 45 |
GIE pre-game call: Penn State at 94%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Marshall 6% Underdog
Penn State 94% Favorite
Penn State is the model's favorite at 94%. Marshall has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Penn State recap Penn State: 2026 Week 11 recap Penn State sits at 4–4 after a decisive 31–17 home win over Purdue in Week 9, though that victory hasn't budged the needle—the model holds them at a 9.3 rating, ranked 36th. The red zone remains a chronic weak spot: a 15.3% touchdown rate…
- Marshall recap Marshall: 2026 Week 11 recap Marshall sits at 5–3 with a rating of –10.7, holding rank 111 nationally. The Thundering Herd's most recent action came in Week 9, when they traveled to Old Dominion and secured a 36–23 win—a solid road result that kept their season…