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Weekly recaps

Every FBS team, every Monday. Per-team recap of the weekend's results — what GIE saw, what happened, what changed.

Week 11

100 recaps

ACC 12

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Boston College: 2026 Week 11 recap Boston College sits at 4–4 with a rating of −⁠1.5, holding rank 78 overall—stationary from last week despite a catastrophic 47–2 loss at Duke in Week 9. The Eagles face a red-zone crisis: a 12.5% touchdown rate in the scoring area… 4–4 #78 No change −1.5
California: 2026 Week 11 recap California sits at 3–6 with a rating of −⁠8.2, unchanged from last week after a 31–10 loss at NC State in Week 9. The Bears' offense remains a significant constraint: a red-zone TD rate of 14% and third-down conversion rate of 38% signal… 3–6 #101 No change −8.2
Clemson: 2026 Week 11 recap Clemson sits at 55th in GIE's ratings after a 36–24 road win over Florida State in Week 9, though the rating itself hasn't budged—the Tigers remain at 4.7 with no net shift. At 5–3, they're tracking toward 7.4 expected wins for the… 5–3 #55 No change 4.7
Duke: 2026 Week 11 recap Duke sits at 6–2 with a rating of 6.8, holding steady at No. 47 nationally after a dominant 47–2 win over Boston College in Week 9. The blowout didn't move the needle much—GIE saw it coming—but it underscores a team playing with real… 6–2 #47 No change 6.8
Florida State: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida State sits at 3–5 with a rating of 5.8, holding rank 53 after a flat week. The Seminoles' most recent outing—a 36–24 home loss to Clemson in Week 9—exposed familiar weaknesses: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 20% and third-down… 3–5 #53 No change 5.8
Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 11 recap Georgia Tech sits at 75th overall with a 2–6 record, and last week's 34–11 loss at Pittsburgh didn't budge the needle—GIE holds the rating flat at −⁠1.1. The Red Zone efficiency (16% TD rate) remains a chronic problem; when the Jackets get… 2–6 #75 No change −1.1
Louisville: 2026 Week 11 recap Louisville sits at 25th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 52–24 win over Stanford in Week 9, though the model hasn't budged the Cardinal's evaluation—a sign the victory was expected rather than transformative. At 5–3, they're tracking… 5–3 #25 No change 12.2
Miami: 2026 Week 11 recap Miami remains unbeaten at 8–0 and sits fifth in the GIE ratings at 24.7, though last week's road win over North Carolina (38–35) didn't move the needle—the rating held steady. The Hurricanes' late-game leverage performance of 4.55 powered… 8–0 #5 No change 24.7
NC State: 2026 Week 11 recap NC State sits at 4–4 after a dominant 31–10 win over California in Week 9, but the needle hasn't moved much according to GIE—the team's rating holds steady at −⁠0.9, good for 74th nationally. The Wolfpack's efficiency gains haven't been… 4–4 #74 No change −0.9
North Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap North Carolina sits at 4–4 with a rating of 3.7, holding steady at 58th overall after last week produced no movement. The Tar Heels' most recent outing—a 38–35 home loss to Miami in Week 9—epitomizes their season: competitive but… 4–4 #58 No change 3.7
Pittsburgh: 2026 Week 11 recap Pittsburgh sits at 6–3 with a 7.9 rating and No. 44 standing, unchanged from last week despite dismantling Georgia Tech 34–11 two weeks back. The Panthers are tracking toward 7.7 expected wins, but the underlying picture is murkier: a… 6–3 #44 No change 7.9
SMU: 2026 Week 11 recap SMU sits at 21st overall with a 6–2 record, though last week's loss to Syracuse—27–30 on the road in Week 9—left the rating flat at 13.4. The Mustangs' red-zone efficiency tells much of the story: a 21% touchdown rate in the scoring area… 6–2 #21 No change 13.4

American Athletic 8

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Army: 2026 Week 11 recap Army sits at 5–3 after a 49–22 loss at Memphis in Week 9, a result that underscored ongoing offensive struggles. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged week-to-week, holding steady at 66th overall. GIE projects 7.7 expected wins for the… 5–3 #66 No change 1.0
Charlotte: 2026 Week 11 recap Charlotte sits at 1–7 with a rating of −⁠25.4, unchanged from last week after falling to Tulane 38–31 at home in Week 9. The 49ers have won just once all season and face a steep climb: GIE projects 2.1 expected wins for the year, with zero… 1–7 #136 No change −25.4
East Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap East Carolina sits at 4–4 after a 17–9 home win over Temple in Week 9, holding steady at rank 91 with a rating of −⁠4. The Pirates' offensive execution remains inconsistent: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% explains much of their… 4–4 #91 No change −4.0
Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida Atlantic sits at 5–3 with a rating of −⁠3.4, ranked 90th by GIE—and that rating hasn't budged since last week despite a 48–41 road loss to North Texas in Week 9. The Owls are aggressive on fourth down (60% of the time) and in… 5–3 #90 No change −3.4
Memphis: 2026 Week 11 recap Memphis sits at 7–2 after a dominant 49–22 win over Army in Week 9, holding a rating of 7 and ranking 46th per GIE. The Tigers haven't budged in the model's assessment—their rating stayed flat week-over-week—suggesting that dominance… 7–2 #46 No change 7.0
Navy: 2026 Week 11 recap Navy sits at 2–6 with a rating of −⁠1.6, unchanged from last week despite dropping a home game to Notre Dame 35–13 in Week 9. The Midshipmen's offensive efficiency remains a core problem: a red-zone TD rate of just 22% reveals how often… 2–6 #80 No change −1.6
North Texas: 2026 Week 11 recap North Texas sits at 6–2 with a rating of −⁠0.6, holding rank 72 overall. The Mean Green's most recent outing—a 48–41 home win over Florida Atlantic in Week 9—kept them firmly in contention, though GIE projects them for 8.6 expected wins,… 6–2 #72 No change −0.6
Rice: 2026 Week 11 recap Rice remains anchored at 122nd overall following a 51-49 road loss to Florida Atlantic in Week 8, a defeat that underscores their offensive struggles in the moments that matter most. A red-zone TD rate of 21% explains much of the… 1–7 #122 No change −14.2

Big 12 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Arizona: 2026 Week 11 recap Arizona sits at 14th in GIE's rankings heading into Week 11, holding a 6-2 record but essentially flat from last week's rating assessment. The Wildcats' most recent outing—a 34-26 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 9—exposed a critical… 6–2 #14 No change 16.0
Arizona State: 2026 Week 11 recap Arizona State sits at 4–4 after dropping a road test to BYU 27–20 in Week 9, a result that left the Sun Devils' rating unchanged at 2.3. The loss underscores a deeper offensive malaise: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% means scoring… 4–4 #62 No change 2.3
Baylor: 2026 Week 11 recap Baylor sits at 5–3 and holds a rating of 8.5, landing them at No. 43 nationally—unchanged from last week despite a dominant 41–9 road victory over UCF in Week 9. The blowout win showcased their ability to execute in transition, but it… 5–3 #43 No change 8.5
BYU: 2026 Week 11 recap BYU sits at 13th in GIE's rankings with a 7–1 record, though the model's rating held flat week-over-week—a signal that last week's 27–20 home win over Arizona State didn't move the needle much. The Cougars' red-zone efficiency, at just… 7–1 #13 No change 16.7
Cincinnati: 2026 Week 11 recap Cincinnati sits at 5–3 with a rating of 6.7, holding rank 49 nationally—but that stability masks a brutal reality. The Bearcats lost to Utah 49–25 in Week 9, a blowout that exposed fundamental offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of… 5–3 #49 No change 6.7
Colorado: 2026 Week 11 recap Colorado sits at 3–5 and ranked 93rd by GIE, holding a −⁠4.3 rating after edging Kansas State 27–24 in Week 9. The model hasn't shifted its assessment since that win—the offense remains constrained, particularly in the red zone where… 3–5 #93 No change −4.3
Houston: 2026 Week 11 recap Houston remains at 22nd in GIE's ratings after dropping a road game to Utah 21–13 in Week 8. The Cougars sit 6–2 on the season, but the loss exposed efficiency problems in high-leverage moments: a red-zone TD rate of just 14.5% and… 6–2 #22 No change 13.3
Iowa State: 2026 Week 11 recap Iowa State sits at 4–4 after a thrilling 51–49 home win over Oklahoma State in Week 9, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—still holding at −⁠1.2 and ranked 76th nationally. The model expects the Cyclones to win 5.8 games this season,… 4–4 #76 No change −1.2
Kansas: 2026 Week 11 recap Kansas sits at 3–5 with a rating of 2.8, unchanged after last week's 22–16 road loss to TCU in Week 9. The Jayhawks remain firmly outside playoff contention, and their situational metrics paint a picture of offensive struggle: a 22%… 3–5 #60 No change 2.8
Kansas State: 2026 Week 11 recap Kansas State sits at 4–4 after dropping a three-point road decision to Colorado in Week 9, a result that left the rating unchanged at 8.8 and ranked 39th overall. The Wildcats' offensive efficiency remains the core problem: a red-zone… 4–4 #39 No change 8.8
Oklahoma State: 2026 Week 11 recap Oklahoma State sits at No. 23 after a brutal 51-49 road loss to Iowa State in Week 9—a game that epitomized their season struggles. The Cowboys remain at a 12.4 rating despite the loss, reflecting how their rating had already adjusted… 5–3 #23 No change 12.4

Big Ten 14

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Illinois: 2026 Week 11 recap Illinois sits at 5–3 with a rating of 6.8, holding steady at No. 47 after a 20–17 road win over Maryland in Week 9. The Illini have found traction in close games but remain a team grinding through marginal efficiency: their red-zone… 5–3 #47 No change 6.8
Indiana: 2026 Week 11 recap Indiana sits at No. 6 overall with an 8–1 record and a GIE rating of 24.2, holding steady after last week's 23–16 home win over Minnesota. The Hoosiers have built real equity—a 91% playoff probability reflects their consistency—but… 8–1 #6 No change 24.2
Iowa: 2026 Week 11 recap Iowa sits at 23rd in GIE's latest rankings with a 6–2 record, holding steady after last week's dominant 30–0 shutout of Wisconsin. The rating hasn't budged, which tells you the Hawkeyes are performing roughly as the model expected—no… 6–2 #23 No change 12.4
Maryland: 2026 Week 11 recap Maryland remains anchored near the bottom of the Big Ten at 2–6 following a three-point home loss to Illinois in Week 9. The Terrapins' rating held steady at −⁠2.1, reflecting a team still searching for consistent execution. Red-zone… 2–6 #81 No change −2.1
Michigan: 2026 Week 11 recap Michigan sits at 27th nationally after a 5–3 start, with last week's road win over Rutgers (28–21) doing little to shift the needle in GIE's view—the rating held flat at 11.5. The real story is efficiency: a red-zone TD rate of 16%… 5–3 #27 No change 11.5
Michigan State: 2026 Week 11 recap Michigan State remains anchored at the bottom of the Big Ten after a 28–10 loss to UCLA in Week 8, with a 2–6 record and a rating that hasn't budged. The Spartans' offensive struggles are quantifiable: a third-down conversion rate of 37%… 2–6 #88 No change −3.0
Minnesota: 2026 Week 11 recap Minnesota sits at 5-3 with a rating of 3.9 and remains ranked 57th after absorbing a 23-16 road loss to Indiana in Week 9. The Gophers' offense has struggled to capitalize in crucial moments—their red-zone TD rate of 13% reflects missed… 5–3 #57 No change 3.9
Nebraska: 2026 Week 11 recap Nebraska sits at 15th nationally with a 5–3 record, but the rating held flat week-over-week despite a loss to Washington at home in Week 9. The 17–10 defeat exposed a persistent offensive vulnerability: a red-zone touchdown rate of just… 5–3 #15 No change 15.4
Northwestern: 2026 Week 11 recap Northwestern sits at No. 20 after a 26-34 road loss to Oregon in Week 9, a result that left the Wildcats' rating unchanged at 13.7. The 6-2 record masks deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of just 8% explains why close games… 6–2 #20 No change 13.7
Ohio State: 2026 Week 11 recap Ohio State holds the top rating at 28.6, but the 6-2 record and recent loss to USC (30-18 in Week 9) have complicated the path forward. The Buckeyes haven't moved in GIE's assessment week-to-week, suggesting the model sees last week's… 6–2 #1 No change 28.6
Oregon: 2026 Week 11 recap Oregon sits at 5–3 after a 34–26 home win over Northwestern in Week 9, holding a GIE rating of 17 and ranked 12th. The Ducks haven't shifted in the model's assessment week-over-week, suggesting the victory merely confirmed what was… 5–3 #12 No change 17.0
Penn State: 2026 Week 11 recap Penn State sits at 4–4 after a decisive 31–17 home win over Purdue in Week 9, though that victory hasn't budged the needle—the model holds them at a 9.3 rating, ranked 36th. The red zone remains a chronic weak spot: a 15.3% touchdown rate… 4–4 #36 No change 9.3
Purdue: 2026 Week 11 recap Purdue remains at 69th overall after absorbing a 31–17 loss at Penn State in Week 9, with no rating movement despite the two-week span. The Boilermakers sit 3–5 and project to win around 4 games on the season, with zero realistic paths to… 3–5 #69 No change 0.2
Rutgers: 2026 Week 11 recap Rutgers remains firmly outside the playoff picture at 2–6, with GIE holding them steady at a rating of −⁠4.9 and rank 95 overall. Last week's 28–21 loss to Michigan at home exposed a persistent offensive problem: their red-zone touchdown… 2–6 #95 No change −4.9

Conference USA 9

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Delaware: 2026 Week 11 recap Delaware sits at 117th nationally after a 4–4 record through nine games, with its rating holding steady at −⁠11.7. The Fightin' Blue Hens' most recent outing—a 35–21 road win over Western Kentucky in Week 9—showed offensive teeth, but the… 4–4 #117 No change −11.7
Florida International: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida International sits at 3–5 after a 49–10 road loss to Liberty in Week 9, holding a GIE rating of −⁠7.9 and ranked 100th overall. The Panthers' offensive struggles are stark: a red-zone TD rate of just 16% and third-down conversion… 3–5 #100 No change −7.9
Jacksonville State: 2026 Week 11 recap Jacksonville State sits at 6–2 with a rating of −⁠2.6, holding rank 84 after a 24–0 win over New Mexico State in Week 9. The Gamecocks haven't budged in GIE's assessment despite the dominant road result—a sign that the model sees the… 6–2 #84 No change −2.6
Kennesaw State: 2026 Week 11 recap Kennesaw State sits at 2–6 and rated at −⁠13.8 by GIE, holding rank 120 overall with no path to the playoff or conference title. The Owls' signature moment came in Week 9, when they upset Middle Tennessee 44–28 on the road—a rare bright… 2–6 #120 No change −13.8
Liberty: 2026 Week 11 recap Liberty sits at 45th overall with a 7–1 record and a rating holding steady at 7.5. Their dominant 49–10 win over Florida International in Week 9 underscored offensive firepower, though the red-zone TD rate of 15% hints at untapped… 7–1 #45 No change 7.5
Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 11 recap Middle Tennessee sits at 4–4 with a rating of −⁠15.2, holding steady at 125th nationally. The Blue Raiders took a 44–28 loss at home to Kennesaw State in Week 9, a result that underscores deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone touchdown… 4–4 #125 No change −15.2
Missouri State: 2026 Week 11 recap Missouri State sits at 128th overall with a 3–5 record, holding steady at a rating of −⁠16.9 after a dominant 24–3 home win over Sam Houston in Week 9. That victory showed what the Bears can do defensively, though the offense remains a… 3–5 #128 No change −16.9
New Mexico State: 2026 Week 11 recap New Mexico State sits at 3–5 with a rating of −⁠13.4, holding steady at 119th nationally. The Aggies got shutout at home by Jacksonville State 24–0 in Week 9, a result that underscores deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of just… 3–5 #119 No change −13.4
Sam Houston: 2026 Week 11 recap Sam Houston remains anchored at 129th overall after a shutout loss to Missouri State that saw the Bearkats manage just 3 points. The rating held steady week-over-week, reflecting the consistency of their struggles: a red-zone TD rate of… 1–7 #129 No change −18.0

FBS Independents 1

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Notre Dame: 2026 Week 11 recap Notre Dame sits at No. 3 with a 7–1 record and a rating of 25.2—unchanged from last week despite the 35–13 road win over Navy in Week 9. The Irish offense moved the ball effectively but left efficiency issues unresolved: a 17% red-zone… 7–1 #3 No change 25.2

Mid-American 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Akron: 2026 Week 11 recap Akron remains anchored at 135th in the GIE rating with a 1–7 record through Week 10. The Zips haven't moved since last week—a 35–20 loss to Kent State in Week 8 underscored deeper offensive struggles. The numbers are unforgiving:… 1–7 #135 No change −25.1
Ball State: 2026 Week 11 recap Ball State sits at 3–5 after a dominant 34–17 home win over Sacramento State in Week 8, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign that GIE views the Cardinals as fundamentally limited despite the convincing result. The real problem shows up in… 3–5 #131 No change −20.1
Bowling Green: 2026 Week 11 recap Bowling Green sits at 2–7 after dropping a road game to Western Michigan 23–10 in Week 9, holding steady at a rating of −⁠18.2 and ranked 130th. The Falcons' offensive struggles remain the defining feature: a third-down conversion rate of… 2–7 #130 No change −18.2
Buffalo: 2026 Week 11 recap Buffalo sits at 5–3 with a rating of −⁠12, holding rank 118 nationally after a 31–24 home win over Bowling Green in Week 8. The rating hasn't budged since last week, reflecting a stalled trajectory despite the victory; the Bulls are… 5–3 #118 No change −12.0
Central Michigan: 2026 Week 11 recap Central Michigan sits at 3–5 with a rating of −⁠16.7, holding rank 127 nationally. The Chippewas' most recent contest—a one-point home loss to Miami (OH) in Week 8—underscores a season defined by narrow margins and execution shortfalls.… 3–5 #127 No change −16.7
Eastern Michigan: 2026 Week 11 recap Eastern Michigan sits at 4–5 and ranked 123rd by GIE, unchanged from last week after dropping a 24–20 road decision to Ohio in Week 8. The Eagles have work to do in the red zone—a 15% touchdown rate when opportunities are scarce—and… 4–5 #123 No change −14.6
Kent State: 2026 Week 11 recap Kent State sits at 3–6 with a rating of −⁠21.3, unmoved from last week after falling to Sacramento State 31–10 in week 9. The loss underscored a season-long struggle in the red zone—a touchdown rate of just 13% that mirrors the team's… 3–6 #132 No change −21.3
Massachusetts: 2026 Week 11 recap Massachusetts sits at 4–4 with a rating of −⁠11.1, unchanged from last week despite a 35–16 loss to UConn in Week 8. The Minutemen's offensive inefficiency is the story: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversion rate of 31%… 4–4 #113 No change −11.1
Miami (OH): 2026 Week 11 recap Miami (OH) sits at 5–3 with a rating of −⁠4.2, holding steady at rank 92 after a narrow road win over Central Michigan two weeks back. That 28–27 victory showcased the RedHawks' ability to execute in tight moments—late-game leverage… 5–3 #92 No change −4.2
Ohio: 2026 Week 11 recap Ohio sits at 6–2 with a rating of −⁠1.5, holding rank 78 overall—a position unchanged from last week despite the Week 8 home win over Eastern Michigan (24–20). The stagnant rating reflects a team treading water: solid on the surface but… 6–2 #78 No change −1.5
Sacramento State: 2026 Week 11 recap Sacramento State sits at 2–7 after a convincing 31–10 home win over Kent State in Week 9, but the victory hasn't budged their rating or standing: they remain at 138th nationally with a minus-29.1 mark. The Hornets' offensive efficiency… 2–7 #138 No change −29.1

Mountain West 7

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Air Force: 2026 Week 11 recap Air Force sits at 6–2 with a rating of −⁠0.8, ranked 73rd by GIE after holding steady through Week 9. The Falcons' 35–26 home win over UConn kept them in contention, though their red-zone efficiency remains a constraint—converting just 15%… 6–2 #73 No change −0.8
Hawai'i: 2026 Week 11 recap Hawai'i remains anchored at 107th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 56–21 road win over Northern Illinois in Week 8. That offensive explosion hasn't moved the needle because the Rainbow Warriors sit at 2–6 overall, with an expected win… 2–6 #107 No change −9.6
Nevada: 2026 Week 11 recap Nevada sits at No. 89 in GIE's ratings with a 3–5 record, and last week's 27–0 loss to UCLA underscored how far the Wolf Pack have slipped. The shutout wasn't an outlier—it crystallized deeper offensive issues: a redzone touchdown rate of… 3–5 #89 No change −3.1
New Mexico: 2026 Week 11 recap New Mexico sits at 7–1 and holding steady at No. 36 in GIE's ratings after a 21–16 road win over San José State in Week 9. The Lobos haven't budged in the model's assessment—a sign that the victory, while solid, landed squarely within… 7–1 #36 No change 9.3
North Dakota State: 2026 Week 11 recap North Dakota State sits at 41st overall with a 7–2 record and a 8.6 rating that's held steady through this stretch. The Bison dismantled UTEP 31–7 in Week 9, a dominant performance that kept them on track, though GIE projects them for 9.4… 7–2 #41 No change 8.6
Northern Illinois: 2026 Week 11 recap Northern Illinois sits at 136th nationally with a 0–8 record and no realistic path forward. The Huskies fell to UNLV 31–24 in Week 9, a loss that crystallizes their offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of just 11% and third-down… 0–8 #136 No change −25.4
San José State: 2026 Week 11 recap San José State sits at 4–5 with a rating of −⁠11.3, holding rank 114 nationally. The Spartans dropped a close home game to New Mexico 21–16 in Week 9, a loss that left their rating unchanged but their playoff hopes at zero. The offensive… 4–5 #114 No change −11.3

Pac-12 5

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Boise State: 2026 Week 11 recap Boise State sits at 7–1 and holds a 29th ranking despite flat momentum: the rating stayed at 10.9 this week following a narrow 46–45 home win over Texas State in Week 9. The razor-thin margin exposed a real vulnerability—red-zone… 7–1 #29 No change 10.9
Colorado State: 2026 Week 11 recap Colorado State sits at 3–5 with a rating of −⁠8.4 (ranked 103rd), holding steady week-over-week after a 31–14 loss at Utah State in Week 9. The Rams' offensive struggles are the through-line: a 21% red-zone touchdown rate and 33%… 3–5 #103 No change −8.4
Fresno State: 2026 Week 11 recap Fresno State sits at 5–3 with a rating of 2.6, holding rank 61 after a decisive 38–22 home win over Oregon State two weeks back. The rating hasn't budged since, and GIE sees the Bulldogs at roughly 7.0 expected wins for the season—a floor… 5–3 #61 No change 2.6
Oregon State: 2026 Week 11 recap Oregon State sits at No. 50 with a 5–3 record, holding steady at a 6.6 rating after last week's 38–22 loss at Fresno State. The Beavers haven't gained ground in GIE's assessment, a reflection of offensive inconsistency—their red-zone… 5–3 #50 No change 6.6
San Diego State: 2026 Week 11 recap San Diego State holds steady at 4–5 after a Week 9 home win over Washington State, 26–20, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—still −⁠8.6 and ranked 104th. The Aztecs have won their last two games, but offensive efficiency remains the… 4–5 #104 No change −8.6

SEC 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Alabama: 2026 Week 11 recap Alabama sits at No. 7 with a 6–2 record and a GIE rating of 20.9, holding steady from last week. The Crimson Tide beat Texas A&M 31–20 in Week 8, but efficiency remains uneven: a red-zone TD rate of just 18.5% and a third-down conversion… 6–2 #7 No change 20.9
Arkansas: 2026 Week 11 recap Arkansas sits at 71st nationally with a 3–5 record and a rating of −⁠0.4—unchanged from last week despite a 34–10 home loss to Missouri in Week 9. The offense has struggled to finish drives; a red-zone TD rate of 20% highlights how often… 3–5 #71 No change −0.4
Auburn: 2026 Week 11 recap Auburn sits at 51st overall with a 4–4 record and a rating of 6.5, unchanged from last week despite a 45–15 loss at Ole Miss that laid bare the team's offensive struggles. The red-zone TD rate of 12% tells the real story—Auburn is leaving… 4–4 #51 No change 6.5
Florida: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida sits at 31st overall with a 5–3 record, but the rating hasn't budged since last week—a concerning stasis given the 27–8 loss to Georgia in Week 9. The damage in that game reflected a deeper offensive malfunction: a red-zone… 5–3 #31 No change 10.6
Georgia: 2026 Week 11 recap Georgia sits at No. 2 with a 7–1 record and a rating of 27.1, unchanged from last week after dispatching Florida 27–8 in Week 9. The Bulldogs' path to the playoff remains solid at an 86% probability, though their conference title odds sit… 7–1 #2 No change 27.1
Kentucky: 2026 Week 11 recap Kentucky sits at 31st overall with a 7-1 record and a rating of 10.6, holding steady after last week's 34-17 home win over Vanderbilt. That decisive result masks some underlying efficiency concerns: the Wildcats convert third downs at… 7–1 #31 No change 10.6
LSU: 2026 Week 11 recap LSU remains third overall at 25.2 rating through Week 11, holding steady after demolishing Auburn 38–17 on the road. The Tigers sit 6–2 and show little sign of slowing down, though that red-zone TD rate of 11% suggests efficiency isn't… 6–2 #3 No change 25.2
Mississippi State: 2026 Week 11 recap Mississippi State sits at 52nd overall with a 4–4 record and a rating that hasn't budged despite last week's 31–3 loss at Texas. That lopsided defeat underscores a deeper problem: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversions… 4–4 #52 No change 6.0
Missouri: 2026 Week 11 recap Missouri sits at 18th overall with a 6–2 record after routing Arkansas 34–10 in Week 9, but the rating held flat week-over-week at 14.2—a sign that GIE already priced in the level of dominance required for that blowout. The Tigers face a… 6–2 #18 No change 14.2
Oklahoma: 2026 Week 11 recap Oklahoma sits at 4–4 with a rating of 10.3, unchanged from last week despite a 42–25 loss at home to South Carolina in Week 9. That defeat exposed real offensive inefficiency: a red-zone TD rate of just 18% and third-down conversions at… 4–4 #33 No change 10.3
Ole Miss: 2026 Week 11 recap Ole Miss sits at 6–2 with a rating of 14.7, holding steady at No. 16 after a dominant 45–15 home win over Auburn in Week 9. The Rebels haven't budged in GIE's assessment, suggesting the victory confirmed what the model already believed… 6–2 #16 No change 14.7

Sun Belt 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
App State: 2026 Week 11 recap App State sits at 5–3 with a rating of −⁠4.9, ranking 95th nationally—unchanged from last week despite a lopsided 19–3 loss to Georgia Southern in Week 9. The offense has been a drag all season: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 18% and… 5–3 #95 No change −4.9
Arkansas State: 2026 Week 11 recap Arkansas State sits at 4–4 after a 38–32 win over Georgia State in Week 8, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—still holding at −⁠7 and ranked 97th overall. The Red Wolves' efficiency metrics reveal the tension: a 12% red-zone touchdown rate… 4–4 #97 No change −7.0
Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap Coastal Carolina sits at 3–5 with a rating of −⁠10.3, holding rank 109 overall. The Chants picked up a road win at Georgia State last week, 31–20, but the victory hasn't moved the needle on GIE's assessment—the rating remained flat… 3–5 #109 No change −10.3
Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 11 recap Georgia Southern sits at 4–4 with a rating of −⁠4.8, holding steady from last week after a dominant 19–3 win over App State in Week 9. That defensive performance—holding a conference rival to a field goal—was the Eagles' signature… 4–4 #94 No change −4.8
Georgia State: 2026 Week 11 recap Georgia State sits at 4–4 after dropping a 31–20 home decision to Coastal Carolina in Week 9, holding steady at rank 105 with a rating of −⁠9.2. The Panthers haven't budged in GIE's assessment, suggesting the loss confirmed what the model… 4–4 #105 No change −9.2
Idaho: 2026 Week 11 recap Idaho sits at 4–5 after a dominant road win over Portland State (38–14) in Week 9, but GIE's projections offer little encouragement: the model pegs expected wins at 5.7 and assigns zero playoff probability. The Vandals' red-zone… 4–5 Not rated this week No prior week Not rated this week
James Madison: 2026 Week 11 recap James Madison sits at 7–2 with a rating of 10.9 and ranked 29th by GIE, but the Dukes remain stuck after a 24–21 home loss to Troy in Week 9. That defeat stalled any upward momentum; the model hasn't budged the rating this week. The… 7–2 #29 No change 10.9
Louisiana: 2026 Week 11 recap Louisiana sits at 68th overall with a 5–3 record, but GIE sees little daylight ahead: the model projects 7.9 expected wins for the season and assigns essentially no playoff probability. Last week's 35–31 road loss to Southern Miss… 5–3 #68 No change 0.4
Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 11 recap Louisiana Tech sits at 6–2 with a rating of −⁠2.6, holding rank 84 overall after a dominant 35–20 road win over South Alabama in Week 9. The Bulldogs haven't shifted in the model's view since that victory, suggesting GIE saw the… 6–2 #84 No change −2.6
Marshall: 2026 Week 11 recap Marshall sits at 5–3 with a rating of −⁠10.7, holding rank 111 nationally. The Thundering Herd's most recent action came in Week 9, when they traveled to Old Dominion and secured a 36–23 win—a solid road result that kept their season… 5–3 #111 No change −10.7
Old Dominion: 2026 Week 11 recap Old Dominion remains anchored at 124th in GIE ratings after a 36–23 home loss to Marshall in Week 9, with no movement in the model's assessment despite entering Week 10 facing Coastal Carolina on the road. The Monarchs sit 2–7, well below… 2–7 #124 No change −14.7

Week 7

100 recaps

ACC 12

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Boston College: 2026 Week 7 recap Boston College sits at 2–3 with a rating of −⁠4.6, holding steady in GIE's assessment after last week's 25–16 road loss to SMU. The Eagles haven't budged in the model, a sign that the result aligned with expectations—and the underlying… 2–3 #90 No change −4.6
California: 2026 Week 7 recap California sits at 2–3 after a 39–31 road loss to UNLV in Week 5, with GIE holding the Bears at a rating of −⁠3.2 and a projected 4.1 wins for the season. The offense continues to struggle in critical moments: a red-zone TD rate of 14% and… 2–3 #81 No change −3.2
Clemson: 2026 Week 7 recap Clemson sits at 3–2 through five games, holding a rating of 4.9 and ranking 54th in GIE's assessment. The Tigers took a 41–13 home loss to Miami in Week 5—a result that left their rating unchanged, suggesting the model already had them… 3–2 #54 No change 4.9
Duke: 2026 Week 7 recap Duke remains undefeated at 4-0, holding steady at No. 34 in GIE's ratings with a 10.2 score after last week's dominant 62-7 win over William & Mary. The Blue Devils haven't budged in the model's assessment, suggesting the victory—while… 4–0 #34 No change 10.2
Florida State: 2026 Week 7 recap Florida State sits at 53rd overall with a 3–2 record after dismantling Virginia 38–7 in Week 5, though GIE's rating remains flat at 5.7. The blowout didn't move the needle because the Seminoles' underlying efficiency metrics remain… 3–2 #53 No change 5.7
Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap Georgia Tech sits at 1–3 after falling to Stanford 34–27 in Week 4, with the model holding them at a rating of −⁠0.1 and ranking 69th overall. The loss exposed a familiar problem: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 16% means the Yellow… 1–3 #69 No change −0.1
Louisville: 2026 Week 7 recap Louisville sits at 2–3 after dropping a three-point road decision to NC State in Week 5, and the rating hasn't budged—still 9.9, still ranked 36th. The Cards are generating expected wins around 5.5, a gap suggesting they've underperformed… 2–3 #36 No change 9.9
Miami: 2026 Week 7 recap Miami sits at No. 5 overall, undefeated through five games with a 25.7 rating that hasn't budged week-over-week—a sign the Hurricanes are performing exactly to expectation rather than trending up or down. Their most recent statement came… 5–0 #5 No change 25.7
NC State: 2026 Week 7 recap NC State sits at 3–2 after a 31–28 home win over Louisville in Week 5, though GIE's rating remains flat at 3.4, ranking the Wolfpack 58th nationally. The stagnant movement reflects underlying offensive inefficiency: a 23% red-zone… 3–2 #58 No change 3.4
North Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap North Carolina sits at 2–2 with a rating of 3, unchanged from last week despite the Week 5 home loss to Notre Dame (26–37). The Tar Heels' offensive efficiency remains a constraint—a red-zone TD rate of just 14 percent and third-down… 2–2 #60 No change 3.0
Pittsburgh: 2026 Week 7 recap Pittsburgh remains unbeaten at 5–0, holding a rating of 14.7 and ranking 20th nationally per GIE. The Panthers notched a road win at Virginia Tech last week, 35–33, in a tight contest that underscores both their resilience and their… 5–0 #20 No change 14.7
SMU: 2026 Week 7 recap SMU sits at 26th in the ratings after a steady 4–1 start, but last week's 25–16 win over Boston College didn't move the needle—GIE holds the Mustangs flat at a rating of 13. The red-zone efficiency tells part of the story: converting just… 4–1 #26 No change 13.0

American Athletic 8

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Army: 2026 Week 7 recap Army sits at 2–2 with a rating of −⁠0.8, ranked 72nd, after dropping a close one to Louisiana Tech 31–29 in Week 5. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged since last week, suggesting the model saw that result coming—a narrow road loss… 2–2 #72 No change −0.8
Charlotte: 2026 Week 7 recap Charlotte remains in freefall at 0–5, rated −⁠27.3 by GIE and holding the 137th slot nationally. The 59–8 home loss to Memphis in Week 5 epitomized the offensive collapse: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% and third-down conversion… 0–5 #137 No change −27.3
East Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap East Carolina sits at 2–2 with a rating of −⁠2.8, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 42–9 win over North Carolina Central in Week 4. The Pirates' floor appears solid—they're converting 45% of third downs and showing aggression on… 2–2 #79 No change −2.8
Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 7 recap Florida Atlantic sits at 4–1 with a rating of −⁠4.2, holding steady after last week's 66–10 demolition of Texas Southern. The Owls haven't budged in GIE's eyes, which is telling: dominance against a FCS opponent doesn't move the needle.… 4–1 #87 No change −4.2
Memphis: 2026 Week 7 recap Memphis sits at 63rd overall with a 4–1 record after demolishing Charlotte 59–8 in Week 5, though GIE's rating held steady at 2.3. The Tigers have built real equity in the American Athletic—they're projected to win 8.4 games and own a 27%… 4–1 #63 No change 2.3
Navy: 2026 Week 7 recap Navy sits at 1–3 with a rating of −⁠3.7, unchanged from last week after losing to Air Force 14–9 in Week 5. The Midshipmen have managed just 22% of their red-zone possessions in touchdowns, a critical efficiency gap that's dragging down an… 1–3 #85 No change −3.7
North Texas: 2026 Week 7 recap North Texas sits at 3–2 and rated −⁠5.7 by GIE, holding rank 91 overall. The Mean Green's most recent signature moment came in a road thriller at Tulsa, where they edged the Golden Hurricane 45–44 in Week 5—a late-game sequence that hints… 3–2 #91 No change −5.7
Rice: 2026 Week 7 recap Rice sits at 1–4 with a rating of −⁠15.1, unchanged from last week after falling to UTSA 16–14 at home in Week 5—a tight loss that underscores the Owls' offensive struggles. Their red-zone touchdown rate of 21% and third-down conversion… 1–4 #119 No change −15.1

Big 12 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Arizona: 2026 Week 7 recap Arizona sits at No. 33 nationally with a 4–1 record, holding steady at a 10.7 rating after last week's dominant 34–7 win over Cincinnati. The blowout showcased what the Wildcats can do when clicking, but GIE's projection of 8.3 expected… 4–1 #33 No change 10.7
Arizona State: 2026 Week 7 recap Arizona State sits at 2–4 after a 55–19 home loss to Baylor in Week 5, a result that crystallized deeper offensive struggles. GIE's rating holds steady at 3, with the Sun Devils projected to win just 5.1 games this season—effectively… 2–4 #60 No change 3.0
Baylor: 2026 Week 7 recap Baylor sits at 43rd overall with a 4–1 record and a GIE rating of 8.1, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 55–19 road win over Arizona State in Week 5. The Bears are projecting toward 8.2 expected wins, a modest ceiling for their… 4–1 #43 No change 8.1
BYU: 2026 Week 7 recap BYU sits at 17th overall with a perfect 4–0 record, though GIE's rating held steady at 16.3 this week with no movement either direction. The Cougars' road win over TCU (17–10 in Week 5) demonstrated resilience in close quarters, but the… 4–0 #17 No change 16.3
Cincinnati: 2026 Week 7 recap Cincinnati sits at 4–1 and rated 38th by GIE after a brutal 34–7 loss to Arizona in Week 5. The Bearcats' rating held steady despite the blowout, suggesting the model had already priced in vulnerability—and that loss confirmed it.… 4–1 #38 No change 9.2
Colorado: 2026 Week 7 recap Colorado sits at 2–3 with a rating of −⁠3.3, and nothing has shifted in GIE's assessment since last week. The Buffaloes' most recent outing—a 29–7 home loss to Texas Tech in Week 5—crystallized their offensive struggles: a 14.5% red-zone… 2–3 #82 No change −3.3
Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap Houston sits at No. 29 overall after a 4–1 start, holding steady at a 12.1 rating following their 27–17 home win over UCF in Week 5. The Cougars have built early season momentum, though GIE projects 8.1 expected wins from here—a signal… 4–1 #29 No change 12.1
Iowa State: 2026 Week 7 recap Iowa State sits at 3–2 after a 45–42 home win over West Virginia in Week 5, though GIE's rating holds steady at 3.4, ranking them 58th nationally. The close victory masked underlying inefficiency: a 15% red-zone touchdown rate signals the… 3–2 #58 No change 3.4
Kansas: 2026 Week 7 recap Kansas sits at 66th overall after a dominant 55–0 home win over Middle Tennessee in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign the blowout came against a severely outmatched opponent. At 2–2 on the season, the Jayhawks are tracking… 2–2 #66 No change 1.0
Kansas State: 2026 Week 7 recap Kansas State holds steady at No. 23 after dropping a 31–26 road decision to Cincinnati in Week 4—a result that left the Wildcats' rating unchanged despite the loss. The team sits at 3–1, but GIE's projection of 7.6 expected wins suggests… 3–1 #23 No change 14.0
Oklahoma State: 2026 Week 7 recap Oklahoma State sits at 3–1 after a dominant 41–24 road win at West Virginia that kept the Cowboys' rating steady at 10.2, good for 34th nationally. The lopsided victory masks underlying efficiency issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just… 3–1 #34 No change 10.2

Big Ten 14

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Illinois: 2026 Week 7 recap Illinois sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of 8.5, holding 41st in the team standings—a position that reflects a season of narrow margins and missed opportunities. Last week's loss to Purdue at home (17–24) exemplifies the problem: a… 2–3 #41 No change 8.5
Indiana: 2026 Week 7 recap Indiana remains undefeated at 5–0 and holds the No. 4 rating (26.9) heading into Week 6, though last week's dominant 47–15 road win over Rutgers didn't move the needle in GIE's eyes—the rating held steady. The Hoosiers' late-game leverage… 5–0 #4 No change 26.9
Iowa: 2026 Week 7 recap Iowa sits at 19th in the latest GIE ratings after a 31-14 loss to Ohio State in Week 5—a result that left the rating essentially flat but underscored some operational issues. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 on the season with an expected-wins… 4–1 #19 No change 14.8
Maryland: 2026 Week 7 recap Maryland sits at No. 55 in GIE's ratings after a brutal 48–23 loss at Nebraska in Week 5—a result that left the Terrapins at 2–3 and essentially stalled their season momentum. The rating held steady week-over-week, a hollow consolation;… 2–3 #55 No change 3.9
Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap Michigan sits at 22nd overall with a 3–2 record after dropping last week's road matchup to Minnesota 20–14. The rating holds steady at 14.3, suggesting the loss confirmed what GIE already knew: the Wolverines are treading water in a… 3–2 #22 No change 14.3
Michigan State: 2026 Week 7 recap Michigan State sits at 2–3 with a rating of 0.3, anchored at 67th nationally. Last week's 31–3 road loss to Wisconsin crystallized the offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of 15% and third-down conversion rate of 37% underscore an… 2–3 #67 No change 0.3
Minnesota: 2026 Week 7 recap Minnesota sits at 52nd overall with a 4–1 record after beating Michigan 20–14 at home in Week 5, though GIE's rating held steady at 6.5, suggesting the model views the win as confirmation rather than a breakthrough. The Gophers' strength… 4–1 #52 No change 6.5
Nebraska: 2026 Week 7 recap Nebraska remains undefeated at 5–0 and holds a rank of 15 nationally, though GIE's rating has flatlined week-to-week at 16.9. The model projects 9.7 expected wins and pegs their playoff probability at 66%, but there's a warning buried in… 5–0 #15 No change 16.9
Northwestern: 2026 Week 7 recap Northwestern sits at No. 50 overall with a 3–1 record and a GIE rating of 7.3, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 34–13 home win over Penn State in Week 5. The Wildcats' red-zone efficiency remains a concern—they're converting… 3–1 #50 No change 7.3
Ohio State: 2026 Week 7 recap Ohio State holds steady at No. 2 with a 4–1 record and a rating of 28.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 31–14 road win over Iowa in Week 5. The Buckeyes are converting third downs at 48%, which keeps drives alive, but a… 4–1 #2 No change 28.8
Oregon: 2026 Week 7 recap Oregon sits at No. 8 with a 3–1 record and a rating of 21.6, holding steady from last week despite the bye. The Ducks' signature moment came in Week 4, when they traveled to USC and dominated, winning 41–27—a statement of Big Ten… 3–1 #8 No change 21.6
Penn State: 2026 Week 7 recap Penn State sits at No. 15 with a 3–2 record after a lopsided 34–13 loss to Northwestern in Week 5. The rating held steady at 16.9, suggesting GIE views this setback as in line with where the Nittany Lions actually stand. The troubling… 3–2 #15 No change 16.9
Purdue: 2026 Week 7 recap Purdue sits at 2–3 after a road win at Illinois in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—GIE still has them at −⁠6.4, ranked 94th. The Boilermakers are converting just 40% on third down and a concerning 13% of red-zone drives into… 2–3 #94 No change −6.4
Rutgers: 2026 Week 7 recap Rutgers sits at 1–4 with a rating of −⁠1.6, holding steady at rank 75 after absorbing a 47–15 home loss to Indiana last week. The margin was decisive, but the underlying numbers suggest deeper issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 14%… 1–4 #75 No change −1.6

Conference USA 9

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Delaware: 2026 Week 7 recap Delaware sits at 2–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's rankings since last week, holding steady at No. 110 with a rating of −⁠10.7. The Fightin' Blue Hens took a 30–14 loss at home to Liberty in Week 5—a deficit that underscores their larger… 2–3 #110 No change −10.7
Florida International: 2026 Week 7 recap Florida International remains stuck at the bottom tier of Conference USA with a 2–2 record and a rating that hasn't budged in weeks. Last time we checked in, the Panthers dominated Long Island University 20–3 at home, but that win hasn't… 2–2 #99 No change −7.6
Jacksonville State: 2026 Week 7 recap Jacksonville State sits at 3–2 after a Week 4 win over Middle Tennessee, holding a rating of −⁠2.2 and ranking 77th per GIE. The Gamecocks haven't moved in the model's assessment since last week, suggesting the victory merely confirmed… 3–2 #77 No change −2.2
Kennesaw State: 2026 Week 7 recap Kennesaw State sits at 1–3 with a rating of −⁠11.7, holding rank 113 in GIE's assessment. The Owls' most recent action came in Week 4, a 17–14 road loss to Arkansas State that stalled any momentum. The rating has held steady week-to-week,… 1–3 #113 No change −11.7
Liberty: 2026 Week 7 recap Liberty sits at 4–1 and holds a 2.5 rating heading into Week 7, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Flames' most recent action came in Week 5, when they dismantled Delaware 30–14 on the road—a convincing win that underscored… 4–1 #62 No change 2.5
Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 7 recap Middle Tennessee sits at 2–3 with a rating of −⁠16, holding steady from last week despite the devastating 55–0 road loss to Kansas in Week 5. That scoreline wasn't an outlier—it exposed fundamental offensive struggles that linger: a… 2–3 #122 No change −16.0
Missouri State: 2026 Week 7 recap Missouri State remains anchored at 125th in GIE's ratings after a stagnant week—the Bears sit 1–3 with no movement from their prior −⁠17.6 rating. Their last outing, a 34–24 loss at SMU in Week 4, epitomized the offensive fragility that's… 1–3 #125 No change −17.6
New Mexico State: 2026 Week 7 recap New Mexico State sits at 2–3 with a rating of −⁠17.8, holding steady from the prior week after a dominant 34–13 home win over Western Kentucky in Week 5. That victory demonstrated offensive firepower, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign… 2–3 #126 No change −17.8
Sam Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap Sam Houston sits at 1–3 with a rating of −⁠14.1, ranked 117th by GIE, and hasn't moved in the model's assessment over the past week. The Bearkats' most recent outing—a 49–14 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 4—underscored a troubling… 1–3 #117 No change −14.1

FBS Independents 1

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Notre Dame: 2026 Week 7 recap Notre Dame sits at No. 3 with a perfect 5–0 record and a rating of 28.1, holding steady after its 37–26 road win over North Carolina in Week 5. The Irish have largely controlled their schedule, though a red-zone TD rate of 17% suggests… 5–0 #3 No change 28.1

Mid-American 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Akron: 2026 Week 7 recap Akron sits at 1–4 after a 41–17 road loss to Central Michigan in Week 5, holding a rating of −⁠23.1 and ranked 132nd by GIE. The Zips have flatlined in the ratings since last week—no movement—which underscores how thoroughly they've been… 1–4 #132 No change −23.1
Ball State: 2026 Week 7 recap Ball State sits at 1–4 after dropping last week's home contest to Toledo 39–24, and GIE's model shows no movement: the Cardinals remain at a −⁠25 rating and ranked 135th. The core issue isn't variance—it's execution across the board. A… 1–4 #135 No change −25.0
Bowling Green: 2026 Week 7 recap Bowling Green sits at 1–4 after a Week 5 road win over Miami (OH), 24–20, but the rating holds steady at −⁠26.4, suggesting the victory didn't shift the broader assessment. The Falcons' situational profile is the real story: a red-zone TD… 1–4 #136 No change −26.4
Buffalo: 2026 Week 7 recap Buffalo sits at 2–3 after dropping Week 5 at home to Western Michigan, 20–17, a loss that didn't budge their GIE rating of −⁠17.2 (ranked 124th). The culprit is evident in the numbers: a red-zone TD rate of just 15% means scoring… 2–3 #124 No change −17.2
Central Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap Central Michigan sits at 3–2 after dismantling Akron 41–17 in Week 5, but the Chippewas haven't budged in GIE's rankings—still 129th with a rating of −⁠18.7. That stasis masks a real problem: a red-zone TD rate of just 12% means the… 3–2 #129 No change −18.7
Eastern Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap Eastern Michigan sits at 3–3 and rated −⁠18 by GIE, placing them 127th nationally—a position unchanged from last week despite the Eagles' dominant 38–14 road win over Massachusetts in Week 5. That victory should have moved the needle, but… 3–3 #127 No change −18.0
Kent State: 2026 Week 7 recap Kent State sits at 2–3 after a 13–10 home loss to Ohio in Week 5, with a rating of −⁠22.4 that ranks 130th nationally. The stagnant rating reflects deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of 13% and third-down conversion rate of 31%… 2–3 #130 No change −22.4
Massachusetts: 2026 Week 7 recap Massachusetts sits at 4–1 but hasn't moved in GIE's estimation—a stagnant rating of −⁠6.2 masks a troubling reality. The week-5 home loss to Eastern Michigan (38–14) exposed fundamental issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 12.8% and… 4–1 #93 No change −6.2
Miami (OH): 2026 Week 7 recap Miami (OH) sits at 2–3 with a GIE rating of −⁠4.3, holding steady at rank 88 after a one-point loss to Bowling Green in Week 5. The RedHawks' offensive efficiency remains the core problem: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 15%,… 2–3 #88 No change −4.3
Ohio: 2026 Week 7 recap Ohio scraped past Kent State 13–10 in Week 5, but the Bobcats remain stuck at a −⁠10.5 rating and rank 109th in GIE's assessment heading into Week 7. The win didn't budge the needle because the performance itself is fragile: a red-zone TD… 3–2 #109 No change −10.5
Sacramento State: 2026 Week 7 recap Sacramento State sits at 1–4 with a rating of −⁠22.9, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Hornets' most recent contest was a lopsided loss to Massachusetts (35–6 in Week 4), a result that underscores deeper offensive… 1–4 #131 No change −22.9

Mountain West 7

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Air Force: 2026 Week 7 recap Air Force sits at 3–1 after a 14–9 victory over Navy in Week 5, though GIE's rating holds steady at −⁠3.4 and ranks them 83rd nationally. The Falcons are converting 45% of third downs and showing aggression on fourth down (55%), but a… 3–1 #83 No change −3.4
Hawai'i: 2026 Week 7 recap Hawai'i remains firmly at the bottom of the Mountain West after falling to San José State 20–16 at home in Week 5, dropping to 1–4 on the season. GIE's rating hasn't budged—the Rainbow Warriors sit at −⁠12.2, ranked 114th overall—a… 1–4 #114 No change −12.2
Nevada: 2026 Week 7 recap Nevada sits at 1–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's ratings since last week, holding steady at 95th nationally with a minus-6.5 rating. The Wolf Pack's loss to Air Force in Week 4 epitomizes their season: they were home, scored 33 points, and… 1–3 #95 No change −6.5
New Mexico: 2026 Week 7 recap New Mexico sits at 4–1 with a rating of 7.7, holding steady at 46th nationally after dismantling UTEP 61–7 in Week 5. The Lobos have converted third downs at a 36% clip and shown willingness to be aggressive on fourth down, though a… 4–1 #46 No change 7.7
North Dakota State: 2026 Week 7 recap North Dakota State remains unbeaten at 5-0, holding steady at a GIE rating of 7.8 and ranked 45th nationally. The Bison throttled Wyoming 28-0 in Week 5, a dominant defensive performance that kept them on track. Their red-zone efficiency… 5–0 #45 No change 7.8
Northern Illinois: 2026 Week 7 recap Northern Illinois sits at 0–4 after falling to Georgia State 35–14 in Week 4, and GIE's rating hasn't budged: the Huskies remain at −⁠23.9, ranked 133rd. The offense has sputtered across the board—a red-zone TD rate of just 11% and… 0–4 #133 No change −23.9
San José State: 2026 Week 7 recap San José State sits at 3–2 after a road win over Hawai'i in Week 5, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—they remain at −⁠15.1, ranked 119th. The Spartans are treading water: their third-down conversion rate of 41% and a red-zone TD rate of just… 3–2 #119 No change −15.1

Pac-12 5

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Boise State: 2026 Week 7 recap Boise State sits at No. 47 overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 7.6, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 37–18 home win over Utah State in Week 5. The Broncos' rating stability masks an uneven underlying picture: their… 4–1 #47 No change 7.6
Colorado State: 2026 Week 7 recap Colorado State sits at 2–3 with a rating of −⁠7.3, unmoved from last week after the Oregon State blowout—a 56–26 loss at home that exposed critical execution gaps. The red-zone touchdown rate of 21% tells the story: the Rams are… 2–3 #97 No change −7.3
Fresno State: 2026 Week 7 recap Fresno State sits at 4–1 after a dominant road win at Washington State, where the Bulldogs' defense held the Cougars to just 6 points. The rating has held steady at −⁠0.3, leaving them ranked 70th by GIE—a perch that reflects genuine… 4–1 #70 No change −0.3
Oregon State: 2026 Week 7 recap Oregon State sits at 3–2 after a dominant 56–26 road win over Colorado State in Week 5, though GIE's rating hasn't shifted—the Beavers remain ranked 65th with a 1.2 mark. The lopsided victory masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD… 3–2 #65 No change 1.2
San Diego State: 2026 Week 7 recap San Diego State sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of −⁠7.8, holding rank 100 overall—a standing that hasn't budged since last week despite the Aztecs' narrow 31–29 home win over Texas State in Week 5. The victory showcased late-game… 2–3 #100 No change −7.8

SEC 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
Alabama: 2026 Week 7 recap Alabama sits at 5–0 with a rating of 23, holding sixth place nationally and a 97% playoff probability according to GIE. Last week's demolition of Mississippi State (56–23) didn't move the needle in the model's assessment, suggesting the… 5–0 #6 No change 23.0
Arkansas: 2026 Week 7 recap Arkansas sits at 70th overall with a 2–3 record and a rating holding steady at −⁠0.3 after last week's 34–7 loss to Texas A&M. The gap tells the story: the Razorbacks managed just 7 points in that road game, and the underlying picture… 2–3 #70 No change −0.3
Auburn: 2026 Week 7 recap Auburn sits at 3–2 after dropping last week's road contest at Tennessee 24–14, a loss that left the Tigers' rating unchanged at 11.4 and ranked 31st overall. The stagnant rating reflects a season defined by inconsistency: the offense has… 3–2 #31 No change 11.4
Florida: 2026 Week 7 recap Florida sits at 12th overall with a 4–1 record, but last week's 45–17 loss at Missouri exposed real problems. The Gators' rating held steady at 18.5, suggesting GIE saw the defeat coming—a blowout to a ranked opponent didn't shift… 4–1 #12 No change 18.5
Georgia: 2026 Week 7 recap Georgia holds firm at No. 1 with a rating of 30.2 after dispatching Vanderbilt 38–14 last week, though the unchanged rating signals that the result aligned with expectations rather than reshaping the trajectory. At 5–0, the Bulldogs are… 5–0 #1 No change 30.2
Kentucky: 2026 Week 7 recap Kentucky sits at 44th overall after a dramatic road win at South Carolina that pushed the Wildcats to 4–1. The one-point victory in Week 5 moved nothing on GIE's rating—they remain at an 8—which tells you the model saw that outcome as… 4–1 #44 No change 8.0
LSU: 2026 Week 7 recap LSU sits at 10th overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 21.3, unchanged from last week despite the 63–14 demolition of McNeese at home. The lopsided win over a FCS opponent didn't move the needle—GIE's assessment of the Tigers remains… 4–1 #10 No change 21.3
Mississippi State: 2026 Week 7 recap Mississippi State holds steady at 18th in GIE's ratings after a brutal Week 5 loss to Alabama—a 56-23 home defeat that effectively reset the season's narrative. The Bulldogs are 4-1 on the field, but the model's expected-wins figure of… 4–1 #18 No change 15.1
Missouri: 2026 Week 7 recap Missouri sits at 25th overall after a dominant 45-17 win over Florida in Week 5, though the rating held flat week-to-week—no movement up or down. The Tigers are 4-1 and tracking toward 8.5 expected wins by season's end, which puts them… 4–1 #25 No change 13.7
Oklahoma: 2026 Week 7 recap Oklahoma sits at 27th in the latest ratings with a 2-2 record, and the needle hasn't budged since last week—a sign that the Georgia loss (41-13) still defines the program's standing. That red-zone efficiency, sitting at 18%, explains much… 2–2 #27 No change 12.8
Ole Miss: 2026 Week 7 recap Ole Miss sits at 3–1 with a rating of 11.1, but last week's 52–28 loss to Florida at home was a stark reality check. The Rebels haven't budged in GIE's rankings since that defeat, a sign the model had already priced in vulnerability. The… 3–1 #32 No change 11.1

Sun Belt 11

Team Excerpt Record Rank Rank change Rating
App State: 2026 Week 7 recap App State sits at 3–1 with a rating of −⁠4.4, holding rank 89 overall, though the model sees a ceiling of roughly 7.7 wins for the season. The loss to NC State (41–31 in Week 4) exposed real limitations: a red-zone TD rate of just 18% and… 3–1 #89 No change −4.4
Arkansas State: 2026 Week 7 recap Arkansas State sits at 2–3 after dropping a 23–20 road decision to Louisiana in Week 5, and the rating holds steady at −⁠9.5 with no movement from the prior week. The Red Wolves remain ranked 107th by GIE, a position that reflects… 2–3 #107 No change −9.5
Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap Coastal Carolina sits at 1–4 and holding a rating of −⁠11.4, unchanged from last week despite a Week 5 home loss to Georgia Southern (24–31). The Chanticleers' struggles run deep: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversion… 1–4 #112 No change −11.4
Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 7 recap Georgia Southern sits at 2–3 after a convincing road win at Coastal Carolina in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—still at −⁠8.6, good for 103rd overall. The Eagles' efficient third-down conversion rate (42%) and late-game execution… 2–3 #103 No change −8.6
Georgia State: 2026 Week 7 recap Georgia State sits at 4–1 with a rating of −⁠11.2, holding steady from the week prior. The Panthers demolished Old Dominion 42–10 in Week 5, a dominant showing that underscores their current position in the Sun Belt. However, the… 4–1 #111 No change −11.2
Idaho: 2026 Week 7 recap Idaho sits at 1–4 after a thrilling one-point home win over Montana State in Week 5, a result that showcased the Vandals' ability to close tight games—their late-game leverage performance has been a relative strength. However, the narrow… 1–4 Not rated this week No prior week Not rated this week
James Madison: 2026 Week 7 recap James Madison sits at 5–0 and ranked 36th by GIE, though the model's rating remained flat week-over-week at 9.9. The Dukes' dominant 45–17 win over Marshall in Week 5 showcased their defensive prowess, but the offensive efficiency numbers… 5–0 #36 No change 9.9
Louisiana: 2026 Week 7 recap Louisiana sits at 4–1 after a narrow 23–20 home win over Arkansas State in Week 5, a result that kept the Cajuns' rating flat at −⁠3. GIE projects 8.9 expected wins for the season, though the playoff probability remains at zero—the gap… 4–1 #80 No change −3.0
Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap Louisiana Tech sits at 2–2 after a 31–29 home win over Army in Week 5, a result that moved the needle hardly at all according to GIE—the rating holds steady at −⁠9.8, ranking 108th nationally. The narrow victory masks some underlying… 2–2 #108 No change −9.8
Marshall: 2026 Week 7 recap Marshall sits at 3–2 with a rating of −⁠12.5 (rank 115) after a 45–17 loss to James Madison in Week 5 that exposed significant offensive limitations. The Thundering Herd's rating has held flat week-to-week, suggesting the model views the… 3–2 #115 No change −12.5
Old Dominion: 2026 Week 7 recap Old Dominion sits at 1–4 with a rating of −⁠7.9, ranked 101st nationally and stuck in neutral after last week's 42–10 road loss to Georgia State. The Monarchs haven't budged in GIE's assessment, which speaks to the consistency of their… 1–4 #101 No change −7.9